VaultVision Research · Hyperliquid
Dashboard Blog @0xkayser

HIP-3 & HIP-4 Explained

Permissionless perps (live) and prediction markets (testnet) unpacked — how they work, what they cost, what's actually running, and what they mean for Hyperliquid vault depositors.

April 20, 2026 11 min read by @0xkayser
TL;DR. HIP-3 made perp-market creation permissionless — anyone staking 500K HYPE can spin up a new market (crypto, stocks, commodities, forex). Live on mainnet since October 2025, ~6 months in. HIP-4 adds prediction markets — binary 0/1 outcome contracts sharing a margin account with perps and spot. Live on testnet since February 2026, mainnet "within 2026" with a 2-phase rollout. Together they're turning Hyperliquid into an everything exchange, and that changes the risk surface for HLP and leader vaults.

HIP-3 vs HIP-4 at a glance

HIP-3HIP-4
What it isPermissionless perpetual marketsBinary outcome / prediction contracts
StatusLive on mainnet (Oct 13, 2025)Testnet (Feb 2, 2026). Mainnet: within 2026.
Deployer stake500,000 HYPE1,000,000 HYPE (phase 2)
LeverageDeployer-set per marketNone — 1x fully collateralized
SettlementUSDC (mark-to-market PnL)USDH (settles to 0 or 1 at expiry)
Fee split50% deployer / 50% protocolTBD (will mirror HIP-3 structure)
MarginShared with other HL perpsShared with perps and spot
Asset typesCrypto, stocks, commodities, forex, indicesReal-world events (price, election, weather, etc.)

HIP-3: Builder-deployed perpetuals Live

HIP-3 is the protocol change that turned Hyperliquid from a curated-listing venue into a permissionless perp factory. Before HIP-3, only the Hyperliquid team could list new perp markets. After HIP-3, any user who meets the stake and quality bar can launch a market and earn half the trading fees on it.

The practical effect over the first 6 months: Hyperliquid stopped being a "crypto perp DEX" and started being a general-purpose derivatives L1. Felix Protocol launched the first non-crypto perp market — a Tesla stock perp — on November 13, 2025. That list has since expanded across equities, commodities, FX, and long-tail crypto that would never have made a curated list.

How HIP-3 works, in plain English

  1. Stake. The deployer locks up 500,000 HYPE. At April 2026 HYPE prices, that's a serious commitment — the stake is real skin in the game, not a formality.
  2. Deploy. The first 3 markets are free. The deployer sets the parameters: oracle, leverage cap, funding formula, initial margin, liquidation schedule. They can run perps on literally any asset with a resolvable oracle.
  3. Auction. Additional markets beyond the first 3 go through an on-chain auction. Deployers bid for slots; popular deployers pay more for premium listings.
  4. Earn. 50% of all trading fees on the deployed markets flow to the deployer. The other 50% accrues to the protocol (HLP + HYPE holders).
  5. Slash. If the deployer misbehaves — bad oracle, downtime, parameter exploit — validators can slash up to the full stake. Deployer risk is real.
Key insight: HIP-3 fees don't replace HLP's income stream, they extend it. Every HIP-3 market funnels half its fees into the same bucket that feeds HLP's base yield. More markets → more fees → more HLP APR (all else equal).

What's actually live, 6 months in

HIP-3 has moved faster than most protocol upgrades. A non-exhaustive map of what's trading:

Not every HIP-3 market has real liquidity. Many are deployer vanity launches with zero volume. The pattern is the same as listing on any open marketplace — a handful of deployers drive most of the volume, the rest is long-tail noise.

What HIP-3 means for Hyperliquid vaults

Three structural shifts for vault depositors:

1. More strategy surface for leader vaults. Market-making, funding capture, and basis trades previously limited to ~100 curated perps can now reach across stocks, commodities, and FX. Leader vaults that specialised in one narrow crypto strategy now have a wider menu. Expect a new generation of multi-asset leader vaults in 2026.

2. Thin-liquidity tail risk is back. The JELLY and FARTCOIN incidents happened on a curated listing set. A permissionless market can be significantly thinner. HIP-3 includes deployer slashing as a safeguard, but a whale attacking a low-liquidity book is still a cascade risk to HLP. We expect more JELLY-style events per year now — smaller individually, more frequent.

3. Leader vaults can deploy their own markets. A vault running a specific strategy (e.g., "gold basis") can now deploy the exact perp it needs to run that strategy, rather than waiting for HL curation. Some of the most interesting leader vaults in Q1 2026 are doing exactly this — deploying HIP-3 markets that match their edge.

What we track on VaultVision: which leader vaults have exposure to HIP-3 markets with <$500K daily volume. That's the single best proxy for HIP-3-driven drawdown risk. Our risk score now weights thin-market concentration more heavily post-HIP-3.

HIP-4: Outcome contracts / prediction markets Testnet

HIP-4 is the next big protocol extension: native prediction markets, live on testnet since February 2, 2026, and scheduled for mainnet "within 2026". The thesis is that binary outcome contracts — YES / NO bets on real-world events — are the third major derivative class after perps and spot, and they should live in the same margin account as everything else a trader holds.

This is the move that takes Hyperliquid from "perp DEX + spot" to "everything exchange": a single venue where you can hold a BTC perp, USDC spot, HYPE position, and a 2026 election contract, all cross-margined.

How HIP-4 works

  1. Binary contracts. Each market is a YES/NO contract on a specific resolvable event. "BTC > $200K by end of Q2 2026", for example. The contract settles to either 1 (YES happened) or 0 (it didn't).
  2. Bounded trading range. Before resolution, the contract trades between 0 and 1. A price of 0.62 on the YES side means the market implies ~62% probability.
  3. Fully collateralised at 1x. No leverage. You post the full notional upfront. Max loss per contract is your stake; max gain is the complementary amount. This is why HIP-4 positions can share margin with leveraged perps safely — they can't blow up the whole account.
  4. USDH settlement. HIP-4 contracts settle in USDH, Hyperliquid's native stablecoin. This is Hyperliquid deliberately routing prediction-market volume through USDH to bootstrap native stablecoin liquidity.
  5. Unified margin. For the first time on HL, a trader can hold perps + spot + prediction contracts in a single cross-margined account. Natural offsetting is possible — e.g., you're short ETH perps and long a "ETH finishes H1 above $5K" contract, and the margin engine understands the correlation.
Resolution mechanism. Each market has a defined resolution process described at deployment — typically a committee of resolvers, an oracle feed, or a defined data source. At expiry, the market settles to 0 or 1 based on that process. Disputes go through a predefined challenge window before final settlement.

HIP-4 vs Polymarket vs Kalshi

HIP-4PolymarketKalshi
VenueHyperliquid L1 orderbookPolygon AMMRegulated CFTC exchange
SettlementUSDHUSDCUSD (fiat rails)
MatchingCentral limit orderbookAMM + orderbook hybridCLOB
Margin with other assetsYes — shared accountNoNo
KYCNoneLightFull
Leverage on adjacent positionsYes (via perps in same account)NoNo

The structural differentiator isn't "prediction markets on a DEX" — Polymarket already did that. It's shared margin with perps and spot. Nobody else has that. That's what makes HIP-4 interesting for professional traders and, downstream, for vault strategies.

What HIP-4 means for Hyperliquid vaults

Not much yet — mainnet isn't live. Once it is, expect:

The everything exchange thesis

Zoom out. HIP-3 + HIP-4 together turn Hyperliquid into something that doesn't really exist elsewhere in DeFi: a single L1 where perps, spot, equities, commodities, FX, and prediction markets all share an orderbook, a margin system, and a liquidity pool (HLP).

The strategic move is clear: every dollar of fee revenue on any of those asset classes ends up routed through the same HYPE-aligned fee structure. Deployers, HLP, and HYPE holders all compound on the breadth. The more asset classes live on HL, the more sticky the liquidity becomes, and the harder it is for a single-asset-class competitor to catch up.

For depositors, the thesis is: HLP's APR has multiple compounding new income streams in 2026 — HIP-3 perp fees, HIP-4 outcome-contract fees — on top of the existing orderbook and liquidation PnL. That's the bull case. The bear case is that permissionless markets add tail-risk surface faster than the risk-management tooling can keep up, and we see more JELLY-like drawdowns before the parameter tuning catches up.

What to watch if you deposit into vaults

Track HIP-3 market exposure on VaultVision

Every active Hyperliquid leader vault, with live risk score, thin-market concentration, and drawdown profile. Our risk model now weights HIP-3 exposure explicitly.

Open VaultVision

FAQ

What is HIP-3 in one sentence?

Permissionless perpetual market creation on Hyperliquid — anyone who stakes 500K HYPE can deploy their own perp market on any asset with a resolvable oracle.

What is HIP-4 in one sentence?

Native binary prediction markets on Hyperliquid — YES/NO contracts on real-world events that settle 0 or 1, fully collateralised, and share a margin account with perps and spot.

Is HIP-3 risky for HLP depositors?

Slightly riskier than pre-HIP-3 HL. Permissionless markets = more surfaces for tail events. HLP's drawdown profile now includes some exposure to thin HIP-3 markets. Still overall the safest vault on HL in our view, but not zero-risk.

When will HIP-4 launch on mainnet?

"Within 2026" — no specific date confirmed as of April 2026. Two-phase rollout: canonical team-curated markets first, permissionless deployment (1M HYPE stake) second.

Can I trade HIP-4 outcome contracts today?

Only on testnet. Mainnet is pending. If you want to experiment, Hyperliquid's testnet has BTC and HYPE binary markets live.

Does HIP-3 reduce HLP's JELLY-style tail risk?

No — arguably increases it slightly, because permissionless means less curation. The mitigation is deployer slashing plus OI limits, not the absence of the risk category.

Are HIP-3 stock perps legal?

They exist on a permissionless protocol with no KYC. Whether trading them is legal depends on your jurisdiction. HL doesn't advise. This is the same trade-off as every other HL product: more freedom, zero regulatory backstop.

Will HIP-3 and HIP-4 pump HYPE?

Depends on adoption. HIP-3 generated a small but real HYPE rally on launch; HIP-4 produced a 10-14% move on the announcement. More protocol fee revenue → more HYPE accrual. We don't do price predictions, but the mechanism is clearly HYPE-accretive if volume materialises.

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