Hyperliquid Vault Risk Score Formula
The exact 0-100 model behind VaultVision's live Hyperliquid vault risk scanner.
APR tells you what happened. It does not tell you how fragile the path was. VaultVision uses a deterministic 0-100 score to screen every tracked Hyperliquid vault with the same rules before a user opens the full vault page.
Higher means riskier. The score is a triage signal, not a deposit recommendation.
Formula and risk bands
Each component is first mapped to a 0-100 risk value. The weighted result is rounded to the nearest integer and clamped to 0-100.
| Score | Band | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| 0-33 | Low | Lower modeled risk under the current inputs |
| 34-66 | Moderate | Mixed inputs; inspect the component breakdown |
| 67-100 | High | Higher modeled risk; headline APR is insufficient context |
1. Performance risk (35%)
This component combines 30-day return volatility with the worst daily return in the same window.
| 30D volatility | Risk value | 30D worst day | Risk value |
|---|---|---|---|
| <= 0.3% | 10 | <= 0.5% | 10 |
| <= 1.0% | 25 | <= 2.0% | 35 |
| <= 2.0% | 45 | <= 5.0% | 65 |
| <= 4.0% | 65 | > 5.0% | 90 |
| > 4.0% | 85 | - | - |
2. Drawdown risk (25%)
This component maps the absolute 30-day peak-to-trough drawdown. It is deliberately separate from day-to-day volatility.
| 30D max drawdown | Risk value |
|---|---|
| <= 1% | 10 |
| <= 5% | 35 |
| <= 12% | 60 |
| <= 25% | 80 |
| > 25% | 95 |
3. Liquidity risk (25%)
Liquidity risk combines current TVL with 30-day TVL volatility. Smaller or less stable pools receive a higher risk value.
| TVL | Risk value | 30D TVL volatility | Risk value |
|---|---|---|---|
| >= $100M | 10 | <= 1% | 15 |
| >= $20M | 20 | <= 3% | 35 |
| >= $5M | 35 | <= 8% | 60 |
| >= $1M | 55 | > 8% | 85 |
| < $1M | 75 | - | - |
4. Data-quality risk (15%)
The last component penalizes weaker source quality and sparse 30-day history.
| Quality label | Risk value | 30D data points | Risk value |
|---|---|---|---|
| real | 10 | >= 30 | 10 |
| derived | 25 | >= 20 | 20 |
| simulated | 45 | >= 10 | 35 |
| demo | 70 | < 10 | 55 |
Missing-data defaults
The engine applies deterministic, conservative defaults instead of treating missing inputs as safe.
| Missing input | Default risk value |
|---|---|
| 30D volatility | 50 |
| 30D worst day | 50 |
| 30D max drawdown | 60 |
| TVL | 75 |
| 30D TVL volatility | 50 |
| Quality label | 45 |
| 30D data points | 55 |
How to use the score
- Open the live risk scanner. Lower scores appear first, with drawdown and TVL in the same row.
- Check the component inputs. Similar totals can come from different combinations of volatility, drawdown, liquidity, and data quality.
- Open the vault detail page. Validate positions, leader history, flows, deposit status, and entry quality separately.
- Recheck before acting. Scores change as the underlying vault data and analytics refresh.
What the score does not include
Risk Engine v2 does not directly score current position concentration, qualitative strategy fit, protocol-level risk, or future returns. Those are separate diligence questions. A low score is not a buy signal, and a high score is not proof that a vault must lose money.
This boundary keeps the published number reproducible instead of quietly mixing subjective judgments into the formula.
Compare current Hyperliquid vault risk
Open the live risk scanner for current scores, drawdown, TVL, entry quality, and vault detail links.
Open risk scannerRisk score FAQ
How is the score calculated?
RiskScore = 35% performance risk + 25% drawdown risk + 25% liquidity risk + 15% data-quality risk. The result is rounded and clamped to 0-100.
What do the bands mean?
0-33 is low, 34-66 is moderate, and 67-100 is high. Higher means riskier under the current model inputs.
Is a low score a deposit recommendation?
No. It is a screening signal. Positions, leader history, flows, deposit availability, and entry quality must still be checked separately.
Where are current scores?
Current scores belong on the live Hyperliquid vault risk scanner, not in this static methodology article.
Related research
- Live Hyperliquid vault rankings
- Hyperliquid vault drawdown scanner
- How to choose a Hyperliquid vault
- How to read Hyperliquid vault TVL
Risk Score is a research aid, not financial advice or a guarantee. Vault values and modeled inputs can change quickly.